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Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Market Outlooks
The Government Responds with Extraordinary Measures
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The Federal Reserve and Washington lawmakers have taken dramatic steps to counteract the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 Relief Packages Require Action
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What Plan Sponsors Need to Know About Changes to Their Retirement Plans and Paid Leave Programs.
Market Outlooks
View of the Business Cycle by Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team
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A review of the current state of the U.S. business cycle and the effects of the spread of COVID-19, as well as the potential implications for asset allocation.
Market Outlooks
Patience Is A Virtue
In light of several recent economic events, this piece addresses the question of “where do we go from here?”.
Market Outlooks
The Market Has a Math Problem
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The market has a math problem—or does it? It all depends on where rates go.
Market Outlooks
Does China Hold the Keys to a Global Economic Bounce?
A late '90s-style reacceleration may not be in the cards.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Federated's Re-election Dashboard
A series of economic indicators that have historically been predictive of re-election results.