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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Cooling U.S.‑Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal
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The prospects of the U.S. resolving key trade challenges with the EU have improved. The U.S. is likely to remain hawkish toward China.
Fixed Income Insights
Fasten Your Seatbelt for More Interest Rate Volatility
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The trends of rising global bond yields and interest rate volatility are likely to continue in fixed income markets.
Market Outlooks
Investing in a Pandemic: Lessons Learned and What’s Next
The crash a year ago created tremendous opportunities as price levels became disconnected from longer-term prospects.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Value or Values?
As investors increasingly seek strategies that both deliver returns and advance core values, asset managers have been testing different approaches.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The U.S. Grabs the Global Recovery Baton…
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Slow vaccination programs continue to delay the reopening of EU economies. The Fed showed that even with better growth and inflation outlooks, it remains committed to its accommodative stance. Elsewhere, China activity data so far this year shows the uneven recovery continues.
Market Outlooks
PULSe Indicator: Pandemic Factor Rises to Crisis Levels
To help navigate turbulent markets, we constructed the PULSe indicator. At the end of December, the indicator was Stable.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: A Bias Toward Quality
CLOs continued their rebound in the third quarter, but the potential for volatility going forward is high. In this environment, there may be benefits to moving up in quality.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Halfway There?
The shock was the story in the first quarter, the stimulus was the story in the second—but we’re decidedly not yet in the post-COVID era, and the path to economic recovery remains unclear. What does that mean for high yield?
Fixed Income Insights
EMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
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Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.