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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Market Outlooks
Outlook 2023: Better Than Feared
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As we look out to 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has reached its “neutral” monetary policy stance, and the European Central Bank (ECB) is not far behind. Europe has moved fast to secure fossil fuel supply away from Russia, even at higher—but stable—prices. U.S. consumer price inflation is moderating. Asynchronous reopening, with China’s consumers set to rejoin the post-COVID economy, is likely to mean more inflation volatility next year.
Market Outlooks
8 Reasons for Optimism in U.S. Stocks
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Around the world, economies are slowing, with some developed markets likely already in recession, thanks in no small part to tightening monetary policies. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the United States, where the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has moved more aggressively than in any other rate-rising period since the 1970s.
Market Outlooks
Market GPS 2023 Investment Outlook
Curated content for RIAs.
Equities: Follow the data, not the drama. Fixed Income: Ingredients in the mix for a more appetising 2023…
Market Outlooks
Market GPS: ESG Investment Outlook 2022
Curated content for RIAs.
Paul LaCoursiere, Global Head of ESG Investments, explores four themes for 2022 that he considers pivotal to the direction of travel for environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing.
Market Outlooks
Market GPS: Equity Perspectives
Featuring the latest quarterly insights from our investment teams:
- Powerful factors coalescing for a rebound in U.S. travel and leisure.
- Health care’s innovation shifts into high gear.
- Technology: solutions for a sustainable future in transport.
- Emerging market equities: China’s “smart” opportunity.