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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Promising Update on the Vaccine we are All Waiting for
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We believe there is good reason to be optimistic. The global effort to develop a vaccine for COVID-19 has progressed at an incredible speed and is breathtaking when put in the context of vaccine development, which typically takes around a decade.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Macro Update: TikTok on the Clock, Now Don’t Let Fiscal Stimulus Stop
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TikTok may be the tip of the iceberg as the U.S. recommends tech companies remove Chinese apps from their app stores. Uncertainty around the next stimulus package may continue to weigh on consumer spending as we expect weaker data for July.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: ESG in Mining: A Quiet Revolution is Surfacing
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But the advances underway are rapidly making the industry safer, more efficient and more sustainable.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Trough Is In—Let The Healing Begin
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While there is still a long path to recovery, global June flash PMIs confirmed we have passed the trough as contraction eased. The U.S. Employment report will be released next week, and the pressure is on for Britain and Japan to come up with a deal.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: Volatility Continues, But Value Opportunities Emerge
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As macro volatility continued to pummel markets throughout the first quarter, CLOs felt the effects—with dramatic price moves among tranches as investors clamored for liquidity. But we believe that those who invest with an active manager and take a long-term view will benefit.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Finding Value in a Landscape Rife with Risk
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Concerns surrounding COVID-19, lower oil prices and a global recession have weighed heavily on markets—including global high yield bonds and leveraged loans. While value opportunities are emerging, the landscape is punctuated with risks that must be carefully navigated.
Fixed Income Insights
Investment Grade Credit Markets Make an About-Face
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As investment grade markets pivot sharply, with spreads reaching their widest level in over a decade, investors turn disproportionately toward quality and liquidity.
Fixed Income Insights
Distressed Debt: Despite Challenges, Opportunities Persist
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Recent market and economic volatility may be the trigger that distressed debt investors have been waiting for, but capitalizing on opportunities will require a different playbook than those of past cycles.
Fixed Income Insights
Four Mistakes Investors Make in Private Credit
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Barings’ Jon Bock discusses the biggest mistakes investors make when allocating to private credit—and shares his views on why last cycle’s playbook won’t work this time around.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Central Banks & Cheap Oil Keep on Rollin'
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Central banks have turned accommodative as oil prices continue to decline and digital taxes on tech companies are likely to be implemented by early Spring. Watch for FOMC and BOJ meetings next week for further easing.
Fixed Income Insights
Are CLOs Unfairly Vilified?
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Despite the late-cycle environment, we believe the recent negative headlines on CLOs are somewhat overstated, and do little justice to the many benefits of the asset class—which has delivered impressive risk-adjusted returns and low defaults over time.
Market Outlooks
Fixed Income Quarterly – January 2020
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Falling interest rates and continued investor demand drove positive returns across fixed income in 2019—but with a number of risks on the horizon, volatility is almost a given. Barings’ portfolio managers across the high yield, emerging markets debt, structured credit and investment grade markets share their views on what to expect in the months ahead.