U.S. Treasury rates closed higher last week, led by longer maturities. A constructive market tone lifted rates and supported risk assets. Prospects for additional fiscal stimulus prior to the U.S. election dimmed, but rates rose nonetheless as the yield curve steepened.
Stocks snapped a three-week winning streak last week, with the S&P 500 Index dropping 0.5%. The U.S. elections continued to dominate the headlines, with polls showing an increasing likelihood of a Biden victory and Democratic sweep of Congress. The on-again, off-again fiscal stimulus negotiations were also in the news with expectations growing for a postelection package.
Markets are increasingly reflecting a unified Democratic government outcome that may lead to a significant fiscal expansion. This electoral outcome would bring forward the market pricing of the higher inflation regime that we were already reflecting in our strategic asset views.
Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Value stocks have underperformed Growth stocks by the largest magnitude and longest duration in 40-years.
What – other than the election – should be commanding investor attention these days? Our vote would be the bond market. To help put politics and the bond market in the same neat little box, we turn to renowned political consultant James Carville, who in the early 1990s said, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter.
CLOs continued their rebound in the third quarter, but the potential for volatility going forward is high. In this environment, there may be benefits to moving up in quality.
The shock was the story in the first quarter, the stimulus was the story in the second—but we’re decidedly not yet in the post-COVID era, and the path to economic recovery remains unclear. What does that mean for high yield?
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
Today’s global economy and volatile markets create challenges for trustees who are tasked with driving growth, preserving capital, and managing the everpresent sting of taxes and expenses in trust–owned portfolios. Did you know that trusts can benefit from the same features that individuals find in annuities? Namely, tax deferral,* income control, and diversified investment options. On the next few pages, we’re going to walk through three phases of trust planning (accumulation, distribution, and post-death planning) and show the many ways that a trust-owned annuity can be a powerful planning tool.
The Technology sector has contributed 94% of the S&P 500’s YTD return and currently has a 28% weighting in the index. The remaining ten sectors, on average, have contributed less than 1%.