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Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Bridging the Gap to a Post-COVID World
What lies ahead for high yield markets? Head of Global Public Fixed Income, Martin Horne weighs in on what the bifurcated asset price recovery, record issuance levels and falling default expectations imply for high yield markets in the months ahead.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
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Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.
Fixed Income Insights
Can EM Issuers Pay Their Debt—And Will They?
Emerging markets have been hit hard by COVID-19 but opportunities exist for investors able to navigate choppy waters. In this episode, Dr. Ricardo Adrogue assesses EM issuers’ ability to satisfy their debt obligations—and just as importantly, their willingness to do so.
Fixed Income Insights
The Evolving Opportunity in Distressed Debt
As the pandemic recedes, some companies may have a harder time managing higher debt levels than others—and as weaker issuers undergo restructurings or other stressed situations, there may be opportunities for investors to deploy more capital into distressed debt strategies.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Impact of COVID-19 on Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets
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While the Global Financial Crisis indiscriminately impacted volumes and pricing across commercial property types, the impact of the pandemic on capital markets, has been more selective, widening the gulf between “winner” and “loser” property types.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Promising Update on the Vaccine we are All Waiting for
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We believe there is good reason to be optimistic. The global effort to develop a vaccine for COVID-19 has progressed at an incredible speed and is breathtaking when put in the context of vaccine development, which typically takes around a decade.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Macro Update: TikTok on the Clock, Now Don’t Let Fiscal Stimulus Stop
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TikTok may be the tip of the iceberg as the U.S. recommends tech companies remove Chinese apps from their app stores. Uncertainty around the next stimulus package may continue to weigh on consumer spending as we expect weaker data for July.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: ESG in Mining: A Quiet Revolution is Surfacing
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But the advances underway are rapidly making the industry safer, more efficient and more sustainable.
Market Outlooks
EMD: Further Room to Run?
Emerging markets debt rallied strongly in the second quarter—and while risks remain ever-present, the asset class may benefit from continued monetary stimulus and the potential for a sharper economic bounce-back in the second half of the year.
Market Outlooks
Investment Grade Credit
Whatever It Takes: After the historic rollercoaster ride IG credit took in the first quarter, U.S. policymakers seem to have won the day, at least for now—with their own version of the phrase made famous by former ECB President Mario Draghi: Whatever it takes.
Market Outlooks
CLOs: Looking Down the Road to Recovery
CLOs rallied in the second quarter as liquidity returned and supply/demand dynamics began to normalize. While opportunities have emerged—particularly in high-rated tranches and new issue BBs—active management is key.
Market Outlooks
High Yield: The Power of Flexibility in Volatile Times
Ample liquidity from central banks has driven a significant recovery across markets, including high yield. But with much uncertainty still ahead, we see benefits to moving up the capital structure and considering secured assets.