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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation Went Wild; Here’s How It Might Be Tamed
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As inflation begins to moderate, Olga and Hugo examine the structural forces shaping the medium-term outlook in four categories: energy, housing, goods, and services.
Portfolio Construction Insights
4 Reasons to Get Excited About HVAC
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Looking at one key area of industrials—heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC)—we believe there are enough tailwinds to suggest solid growth.
Fixed Income Insights
Return of the Bond Market: Better Income Opportunities?
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Most investors incorporate bonds into a portfolio to provide diversification. Unfortunately, a smoother return path has not held true in recent years. But now the market has recalibrated, and yields have reset higher. Higher yields mean higher future returns. And for the first time in a while, you can make the argument that bonds provide true competition to stocks.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Focus on Equities: Uncertainty and Volatility Create Opportunity
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Individual stock prices move around much more frequently than business value. At Morningstar Investment Management, we embrace stock price volatility as it provides opportunities to improve our portfolios. We are more optimistic about the long-term outcomes for our portfolios today than we were at the start of 2022. Here's why.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: 5 Questions
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China’s future growth is uncertain amid risks stemming from domestic issues (structural, economic, and societal), increased tensions with the United States, and deglobalization. And that has investors wondering about the outlook for Chinese equities. Here are the top five questions investors ask us—and how we respond.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What's Driving U.S. Dollar Strength
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As of mid-October, the U.S. dollar was trading at levels not seen since the early 2000s, when the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), under then-chairman Alan Greenspan, was raising interest rates to respond to a rapidly growing economy. In the past year, the U.S. dollar index, which compares the dollar with a basket of currencies, has risen more than 20%, the largest 12-month increase since 2015.