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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: What Will Kill This Market?
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Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Emerging Markets Recovery & The Race Ahead
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With the Fed’s “tapering” clock now officially ticking, many Emerging Markets face an even more urgent challenge to tackle the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Nobody Likes to Pay More for Stuff. So Why Does The Fed?
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Given the shutting down of the economy last year, and the subsequent collapse in demand and prices, the year-on-year comparisons into 2021 pretty much guaranteed a dramatic jump in prices as the economy reopened; stressed supply chains are adding to inflationary pressures.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Approaching Apogee
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Even as the U.S. economy rockets higher, last week's jobs miss will start to raise questions about what is a sustainable trajectory.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Time to Start Thinking About Thinking
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The Fed doesn’t need to act anytime soon, but Powell needs to reassure investors that he sees the same strong data they do.
Market Outlooks
Thinking About Blockbuster Video After a Blockbuster Week
We got to thinking about Blockbuster Video and one of the greatest “Can I have a do-over?” moments in the history of American business.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Investing Around the Next Round of Russia Sanctions
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Markets have learned to brace for each new set of measures, but now it’s more important to watch for any evolution in the bilateral relationship.
Market Outlooks
Vlog: Quarter-end Q&A 1Q2021
Tim Holland, CFA, Chief Investment Officer, asks and answers three top-of-mind questions as investors receive their quarterly statements and reflect on the past quarter.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: With So Much Liquidity, It’s Time to Double-Check the Plumbing
Inflation fears look exaggerated so far, but risks buried deep in balance sheets can never get too much attention.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: How to Invest in the “Best of All Possible Worlds”
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Markets should worry less about inflation and more about government investment that produces higher rates of sustainable growth.
Market Outlooks
Revisiting Our Bear Market Bottom Checklist
After dropping 35% from its February 19, 2020 peak of 3,393, the S&P 500 bottomed out on March 23, 2020 at 2,192, ending a selloff that included the quickest bear market in the history of the index.