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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Seven Crucial Questions This Earnings Season Can Answer
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As investors strain to imagine the post-pandemic normal, a blurry vision is already coming into view.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Groundhog or Canary?
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The recent market gyrations look more like an entertaining sideshow, but it’s worth asking when they might be a signal of something worse.
Market Outlooks
If Demography is Destiny, Thank a Millennial
When markets obsess over the news of the day, such as GameStop and a short squeeze of epic proportion (more on that in a bit), the best thing we can do as long-term investors is take a step back and focus on what drives the stock market, and the economy, over time.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Best Way to Get a Car Out of a Ditch
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And how investors should judge the next round of government spending.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: An Investment Scorecard for the Biden Administration
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History will judge him on many dimensions, but what can investors reasonably expect that will improve the value of USA Inc.?
Market Outlooks
Kind of, pretty much, just about divided government
The S&P 500 Index is up an extraordinary 16% since election day – November 3, 2020.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Recipe for the Next Financial Crisis
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It may not come soon or deliver the same shock, but the ingredients that triggered so many predecessors are already coming into view.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Secret Plan for America’s New China Policy
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It’s based on the reviled and maligned Trans-Pacific Partnership, so don’t tell anyone.
Market Outlooks
To paraphrase Yogi Berra, what can we observe by watching gold and copper?
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The late, great Yogi Berra, in addition to winning 10 World Series with the New York Yankees, was the creator of numerous classic malapropisms, including, “You can observe a lot by just watching.”
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Why it’s so Hard to go Bankrupt… And Why That Will Change
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Massive policy response has firms awash in liquidity, but 2021 will bring solvency challenges that investors need to watch closely.
Market Outlooks
In a big November, small caps come up REALLY BIG
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As we take pen to paper for this Weekly Wire we have one trading day left in November, and what a November it has been for our country, our economy, and our stock market:
Market Outlooks
Considering the long-term economic consequences of COVID-19
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COVID-19 is first and foremost a healthcare crisis, and its impact on the world has been devastating. That said, as investors, we must try to determine the long-term economic consequences of the pandemic.