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Market Outlooks
It's Not Much, But We'll Take It
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Excluding this awful pandemic, we think most market observers would cite inflation as the greatest risk to the economy and markets.
Market Outlooks
Omicron & The Fed Upend The Markets
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After a week away for the Thanksgiving holiday, we are happy to be taking pen to paper to share our thoughts on the economy and markets.
Market Outlooks
Thinking About Inflation and Rob Base (Effect)
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“It takes two to make a thing go right, it takes two to make it outta sight.” Some of us will remember dancing to “It Takes Two,” the massive ‘80s hit by Rob Base and DJ EZ Rock.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
What is a Risk Budget?
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Three Keys to Investor-Centric Portfolio Construction.
Investing Ideas
What is a Stock Worth?
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Implications for Equity Investing at Historic Valuations
Market Outlooks
Productivity, Profits, and Pay
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Despite the Delta variant of the coronavirus, supply chain bottlenecks, a spike in input prices, and a meaningful employer/employee mismatch, the US economy continues to power ahead.
Alternative Investments
What is a Hedged Equity?
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Simple, straight-forward explanation of a fast-growing sub-category of investment strategies.
Fixed Income Insights
The Dire Outlook for Bonds in the Wake of COVID-19
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This brief update revisits the main tenets of “The Bleak Future of Bonds” paper and provides updates to some key numbers in the aftermath of the COVID-19/coronavirus crisis and what this means for portfolio construction going forward.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
What is a Risk Budget?
Three Keys to Investor-Centric Portfolio Construction.
Market Outlooks
Nobody Likes to Pay More for Stuff. So Why Does The Fed?
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Given the shutting down of the economy last year, and the subsequent collapse in demand and prices, the year-on-year comparisons into 2021 pretty much guaranteed a dramatic jump in prices as the economy reopened; stressed supply chains are adding to inflationary pressures.
Market Outlooks
Thinking About Blockbuster Video After a Blockbuster Week
We got to thinking about Blockbuster Video and one of the greatest “Can I have a do-over?” moments in the history of American business.