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Market Outlooks
US equity outlook: Market breadth to dictate bullishness
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ClearBridge Investments expects market leadership to broaden in 2024 and believe high-quality defensive stocks will hold up better than the current mega cap leaders in an economic downturn.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: The Fed is Done What's Next?
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Clearbridge Investments: With the market and FOMC suggesting the rate hike cycle is complete, the first interest rate cut could come by May 2024, a pause consistent with the Fed’s “higher for longer” messaging.
Market Outlooks
The Long View: The Crux
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ClearBridge Investments: The toughest test for investors lies ahead as stimulus and consumer resilience fade while lagged effects of rate hikes take hold.
Market Outlooks
The Long View: Who's Right?
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The second half could see a tug of war between market expectations for a soft landing and more cautious economic forecasts.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: Labor market cracks emerging
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ClearBridge Investments: Despite continued strong headline numbers suggesting labor market resilience, we believe an upward trend in initial jobless claims signals weakness ahead.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: The dominoes are falling
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ClearBridge Investments: The Recession Risk Dashboard saw three negative signal changes this month, suggesting a significant downshift in the economy.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Bear sightings: What bear markets could mean for investors
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We live in a suburb with a lot of wildlife.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Is everything going according to plan?
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It was another wild week for assets, with major stock indices — and many other asset prices — down.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Markets struggle to adjust in the face of Fed uncertainty
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I’m so old that I can remember “pre-QE” fixed income markets — the time before quantitative easing when yields were more normal.