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Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Inflation and Bond Duration
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Bond yields are close to all-time lows across the yield curve, current inflation rates appear not to be an issue, and the Fed has stated they will not raise rates until 2023.
Market Outlooks
Turning up the heat on a boiling pot
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The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has created a vacancy in the U.S. Supreme Court with only weeks until the November election. As the country awaits President Trump’s nominee, pundits on both sides of the aisle are claiming this process will strengthen their election chances. We see this process as primarily exacerbating the partisanship of U.S. voters and it is unclear which party will able to drive greater voter turnout or sway more independents
Fixed Income Insights
Interest rates: Lower for longer...or forever?
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On September 16, 2020, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates near zero and signaled that it expects to hold them there through at least 2023, adding outcome based guidance. The statement follows the new long-term policy framework announced by Chair Jay Powell in August at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual Jackson Hole conference. The Fed notes that rates will remain near zero “until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee’s assessments of maximum employment and inflation has risen to 2 percent and is on track to moderately exceed 2 percent for some time.” We didn’t get a precise definition of what a moderate overshoot would look like, allowing the Fed to retain some flexibility.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Concern in the Credit Markets
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While the equity markets hover at – or are making new – all-time highs, the other three stool legs of investments get only marginal attention.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Investing In an Unbalanced Equity Market
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The U.S. economy may still be partially shutdown, but the headline spigot is still wide open with a plethora of issues dominating the media including COVID-19, equality, trade tensions and the upcoming presidential election (just 50 days away).
Market Outlooks
AAM CEO Scott Colyer | Current Views on the Equity Markets
Listen to AAM's CEO, Scott Colyer as he delves into his views on the equity markets during today's tumultuous market swings.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Renewable Energy Infrastructure: At an Inflection Point
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Renewable energy infrastructure, especially wind and solar, has experienced a dramatic decline in cost and is now competitive with fossil fuels without the need for subsidies.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
AAM CEO Scott Colyer | The Election and Interest Rate Outlook
The market outlook for 2020 is constantly in question with the combination of a COVID-19 induced recession and the 2020 election circuit coming to a head in November. Listen to AAM's CEO, Scott Colyer, as he mulls over his outlook for the election and how it will affect your portfolios and the interest rate.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Behavioral Advisor: Your Investments are Non-Partisan
With the election year fury reaching its apex, it is easy to believe that political outcomes in November will have a significant impact on your investments.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints – The Fomc Policy Change; Why Fixed Income Investors Should Pay Attention
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“Lower for longer” has been Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) mantra since they stepped into the market during the final weeks of March.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Emergency Response Management: How Municipalities Are Responding To COVID-19
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Six grueling months into this battle against COVID-19, states and municipalities across the country know that even if they manage to successfully suppress the spread of the virus by year end, the fight will still be far from over.
Market Outlooks
Advisor Perspectives: CAPE is a Very Noisy Market Predictor
Analysts have many ways to estimate expected market returns. The challenge is to identify those few that provide usable information for making investment decisions. In this article, I discuss one of the common mistakes made in this type of analysis and why the cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE), developed by Robert Shiller, is not nearly as reliable a predictor of market returns as most claim it to be.