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Fixed Income Insights
Beware the ides of March
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As the first quarter draws to a close, investors should be mindful of the seasonal weakness typically seen with municipal bonds (munis) at this time of year. This seasonality is due to a confluence of factors, including an uptick in supply (versus a lack of), fewer maturing bonds and lower coupon payments – and a potential pause in industry flows as a result of investors paying their tax bills in April.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: How to Invest in the “Best of All Possible Worlds”
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Markets should worry less about inflation and more about government investment that produces higher rates of sustainable growth.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Future of Money May Come Sooner Than You Think
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The pandemic delivered a boost to cashless commerce, but fresh designs for digital money will disrupt far more than coins and bills.
Market Outlooks
Inflation: base effects versus spare capacity
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The prospect of inflation remains a hot topic for both investors and policy makers. Chair Powell, in his testimony to Congress this month stressed that ‘inflation risks are to the downside’. He stated that inflation in the coming months is likely to jump as a result of ‘base effects.’
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Pessimist's Guide to the Rest of the Year
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The base case is bright in spite of recent market jitters, but we’re watching 10 numbers that would signal a darker turn.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Who Will Balance the Budgets?
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It’s not today’s problem, but it’s a question investors will start asking more often as the Republican Party confronts its identity crisis.
Fixed Income Insights
Why BBB munis are an A+ opportunity in our books
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Investment grade muni spreads tightened significantly since March, but still remain elevated in some areas versus historical averages.
Fixed Income Insights
February 2021 Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, January may prove to be a microcosm of the new year. Optimism abounds for progress against the pandemic and a rapid economic recovery, but challenges remain on both fronts.
Market Outlooks
Inflation: Much discussed but rarely witnessed
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Alongside the prospect for a strong economic recovery, a growing debate has sprung up around the path of inflation and whether it could derail growth.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: How Will Europe Tackle the Biggest Question of the Year?
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Besides the rollout of vaccines that will save us from life inside four walls, we will know how governments want to handle the bill of the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Seven Crucial Questions This Earnings Season Can Answer
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As investors strain to imagine the post-pandemic normal, a blurry vision is already coming into view.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Groundhog or Canary?
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The recent market gyrations look more like an entertaining sideshow, but it’s worth asking when they might be a signal of something worse.