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Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Soft Landing Head Fake or the Real McCoy?
ClearBridge Investments continue to believe a recession is more likely than a soft landing, given many of these data points are lagging or coincident in nature.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Headwind, Not a Hurricane
While the housing market has been on the leading edge of the current downturn, the threat of higher interest rates will likely be somewhat muted as borrowers shift away from adjustable-rate mortgages.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Bear sightings: What bear markets could mean for investors
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We live in a suburb with a lot of wildlife.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Is everything going according to plan?
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It was another wild week for assets, with major stock indices — and many other asset prices — down.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Markets struggle to adjust in the face of Fed uncertainty
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I’m so old that I can remember “pre-QE” fixed income markets — the time before quantitative easing when yields were more normal.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Looking for a ‘glass half full’ after a tough month for markets
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Well, there’s no other way to describe April than that it truly was a mensis horribilis.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Global growth, the French election, and the Fed
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Last week was another busy, momentous one. Below, we discuss three key topics: global growth, the French election, and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish comments.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Inflation, monetary policy, earnings and more
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I entered this industry back in 1995, and I’ve seen a lot over the last 27 or so years — but the last few years have seemed particularly wild. I’m reminded of a line from one of my favorite Grateful Dead songs, “What a long strange trip it’s been.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Some ‘silver linings’ I see in markets today
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Last week, I was lucky enough to present to several different clients and to also address a group of business school students. Questions and conversations with them this week have helped to shape what’s been on my mind, especially regarding the “silver linings” I’m seeing in some concerning issues. Below, I discuss a few of them.