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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation Went Wild; Here’s How It Might Be Tamed
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As inflation begins to moderate, Olga and Hugo examine the structural forces shaping the medium-term outlook in four categories: energy, housing, goods, and services.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Reached the Peak?
After a 5% move in the Fed funds rate in just over a year, it appears that we may have finally reached the peak policy rate for this cycle in the U.S. – or perhaps more accurately, a plateau in rates.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
[Webinar] What's the Market Missing?
Join our experts as they go beyond the headlines and provide their perspective on what the market is missing, the risks and opportunities, and how we’re positioning to address them.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Facing heightened uncertainty, the Fed delivers another hike
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The Fed has raised rates by 300 basis points since June, a nearly unprecedented pace of tightening done to combat persistent inflation amid continued strength in the labor market and consumer spending. But markets are worried it will go too far, triggering a recession.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Investment Strategy Commentary: The X Factor: Evaluating the U.S. Debt Ceiling
A contentious debt ceiling showdown will likely trigger some elevated volatility, but ultimately we expect the U.S. will avert a default.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.