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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
AOR Update: When to expect a recession?
ClearBridge Investments: Despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing, we continue to believe a recession is on the horizon.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook 3Q 2023 | August 1st
This piece is approved to use with clients.
ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation Went Wild; Here’s How It Might Be Tamed
This piece is approved to use with clients.
As inflation begins to moderate, Olga and Hugo examine the structural forces shaping the medium-term outlook in four categories: energy, housing, goods, and services.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Reached the Peak?
After a 5% move in the Fed funds rate in just over a year, it appears that we may have finally reached the peak policy rate for this cycle in the U.S. – or perhaps more accurately, a plateau in rates.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
[Webinar] What's the Market Missing?
Join our experts as they go beyond the headlines and provide their perspective on what the market is missing, the risks and opportunities, and how we’re positioning to address them.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
This piece is approved to use with clients.
After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.