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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
AOR Update: When to expect a recession?
ClearBridge Investments: Despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing, we continue to believe a recession is on the horizon.
Market Outlooks
Quick Thoughts: Artificial intelligence—A primer
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Looking at the potential benefits, risks and societal changes of artificial intelligence from an investment lens with Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute.
Market Outlooks
Fitch’s downgrade of the US—Interesting timing with muted market reaction
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Western Asset: Our initial assessment of the impact that Fitch’s rating downgrade of US credit may have on fixed-income investments.
Market Outlooks
The Long View: Who's Right?
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The second half could see a tug of war between market expectations for a soft landing and more cautious economic forecasts.
Market Outlooks
The Case for Semiconductors
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Semiconductor stocks have outperformed all other industry groups for the past decade, and we see scope for continued outperformance; however, given a wide range of business models and competitive advantages, there is no one-size-fits-all investment thesis.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation Went Wild; Here’s How It Might Be Tamed
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As inflation begins to moderate, Olga and Hugo examine the structural forces shaping the medium-term outlook in four categories: energy, housing, goods, and services.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: Labor market cracks emerging
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ClearBridge Investments: Despite continued strong headline numbers suggesting labor market resilience, we believe an upward trend in initial jobless claims signals weakness ahead.