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Market Outlooks
US equity outlook: Market breadth to dictate bullishness
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ClearBridge Investments expects market leadership to broaden in 2024 and believe high-quality defensive stocks will hold up better than the current mega cap leaders in an economic downturn.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: The Fed is Done What's Next?
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Clearbridge Investments: With the market and FOMC suggesting the rate hike cycle is complete, the first interest rate cut could come by May 2024, a pause consistent with the Fed’s “higher for longer” messaging.
Market Outlooks
The Long View: The Crux
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ClearBridge Investments: The toughest test for investors lies ahead as stimulus and consumer resilience fade while lagged effects of rate hikes take hold.
Market Outlooks
The Long View: Who's Right?
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The second half could see a tug of war between market expectations for a soft landing and more cautious economic forecasts.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: Labor market cracks emerging
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ClearBridge Investments: Despite continued strong headline numbers suggesting labor market resilience, we believe an upward trend in initial jobless claims signals weakness ahead.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: The dominoes are falling
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ClearBridge Investments: The Recession Risk Dashboard saw three negative signal changes this month, suggesting a significant downshift in the economy.
Investing Ideas
As ETFs Boom, Trading Strategies Matter in a Volatile Market
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Capital markets haven’t been an easy road for investors to navigate in 2022, due to a bear market, red-hot inflation and rising correlations that have hampered diversification. Traditional safe havens for long-term investors have struggled too, with cash and Treasuries facing a rising-rate environment alongside historically high levels of market volatility. This uncertainty is one of the reasons behind what could be a record-breaking year in trading volume for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) due to their ability to provide investors with access to a wide variety of market sectors, attractive liquidity and low fees. In addition, many investors are using this vehicle for its tax-loss-harvesting properties as 2022 draws to a bumpy close. All of these benefits have led to a flurry of activity within ETF trading, with one sector in particular— actively managed ETFs—seeing a notable surge in popularity.
Market Outlooks
3Q22 Capital Markets Outlook - Walking a Tightrope
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Entering 3Q, a higher headline inflation print pushed an already aggressive US Fed into overdrive. Markets have responded in kind- fears of a recession have grown, adding pressure to equity valuations and pushing yields higher. Brink identifies some of those select equity and fixed income opportunities. Watch as AB's Rick Brink recap this quarter's outlook for the global capital markets.