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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
AOR Update: When to expect a recession?
ClearBridge Investments: Despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing, we continue to believe a recession is on the horizon.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession indicators: Delayed, not dismissed
Quick takes on capital markets
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation Went Wild; Here’s How It Might Be Tamed
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As inflation begins to moderate, Olga and Hugo examine the structural forces shaping the medium-term outlook in four categories: energy, housing, goods, and services.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May CPI report: Inflation deceleration paves the way for a policy pause in June
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However, core inflation is proving significantly stickier and remains above 5%...
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
June FOMC meeting: A very hawkish pause
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Market response.
Portfolio Construction Insights
4 Reasons to Get Excited About HVAC
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Looking at one key area of industrials—heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC)—we believe there are enough tailwinds to suggest solid growth.