The short-term drivers of market performance are not always clear, but an improving outlook towards economic growth seems to be a clear contributor to the recent equity rally. Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald explains how we are positioning out portfolios in this environment.
U.S.-China tariffs may be removed in stages, but deal may take until December. Inflation is likely to stay below targets.
Stocks gained on new U.S. jobs, while Chinese exports and imports may show little progress.
The Federal Reserve last week lowered rates for the third time over the past year. Interestingly, Chairman Jerome Powell said the Fed thinks interest rates are in a good place at the moment, telling investors that it may be time for a pause. We think this is a mistake by the Fed. Head of Fixed Income Colin Robertson explains.
Every year, Northern Trust’s Capital Market Assumptions Working Group develops forward-looking, historically aware forecasts for global economic activity and financial market returns — which drive our five-year asset class return expectations and inform our asset allocation decisions. All of this comes together in the form of our long-term strategic asset class allocation suggestions, which are used by institutional and individual investors worldwide.
The mash-up of slowing growth, muted inflation, and easing monetary policy continues to create an atypical investment backdrop for investors.
Third quarter earnings season is underway, and while analysts expect profits to be down versus a year ago, we see reasons for optimism. Head of Fundamental Equities Chris Shipley explains.
U.S. earnings and sales are ahead of expectations so far. Investors give a 90% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut this week.
Global equities increased by 0.8% last week, as positive developments on Brexit were accompanied by steady economic data and negative incremental news on U.S.-China trade tensions. Still, uncertainty increased following additional Brexit developments occurring over the weekend. Returns were positive across the U.S., non-U.S. developed and emerging markets, while two-year and 10-year Treasury yields remained steady.
Coming out of our monthly asset allocation meeting, we remain modestly overweight risk. Now is not the time to get too cautious. CIO Bob Browne explains.
Non-U.S. developed markets led the week as U.S.-China trade talks reignited while the European Union opened up to renegotiation. U.S. earnings may fall in the third quarter.