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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Solving the 6% yield portfolio puzzle
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Mystery fans and movie buffs of a certain age may recall The Seven-Per-Cent Solution, a mid-1970s best-selling Sherlock Holmes novel made into an Academy Award-nominated film.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. & Japan: a tale of two overweights
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Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan (BOJ) meetings this week and recent data put a spotlight on the U.S. and Japanese macro environments. U.S. markets are pricing in a positive macro backdrop as inflation cools.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: A dovish Fed pushes Treasury yields lower
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U.S. Treasury yields fell across the curve as U.S. economic data softened and U.S. Federal Reserve communications leaned dovish. Chair Powell said he wants to see “just a bit more evidence” that inflation is heading lower before cutting rates.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: A developing story in emerging markets
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Forge strong bonds with emerging markets. The “year of fixed income” narrative put forth by pundits entering 2024 isn’t just a U.S. story; emerging markets (EM) debt also has a featured role in the script.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Low-carbon transition themes in 2024
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The low-carbon transition is a mega force we track that is shaping investment returns now. We see potentially market-moving developments in three key areas this year.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields fall with inflation data steady
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U.S. Treasury yields fell across the curve as inflation data met expectations. This week, the European Central Bank is scheduled to meet and Fed Chair Powell will testify to Congress. On Friday, the February jobs report is expected to show a hiring slowdown.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: The case for allocating to higher-yielding assets
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Heading into 2024, bond yields stood at their highest levels in more than a decade, prompting some market pundits and prognosticators to declare this “the year of fixed income!” It’s too early to confirm that pronouncement, but there’s evidence to support a strong showing across global bond markets.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Taking selective risk in credit
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Getting granular and being nimble to seize opportunities in the new regime are key lessons guiding us.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Fed outlook continues to sway Treasury yields
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U.S. Treasury yields were mixed as the market continues to push out the pricing for the first U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut, but risk sentiment was well supported.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Small stands tall in the face of inflation
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Bigger isn’t always better. U.S. small cap equities underperformed their large cap counterparts by nearly 10 percentage points in 2023, causing the forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the small cap Russell 2000 Index versus the large cap Russell 100 Index to hover near its lowest level since December 2001 (Figure 2).
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Japan stocks: high can go higher
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We believe Japan’s equity rally has room to run – unlike some past false starts. We think both the macro outlook and company-level developments will drive the next leg.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise as inflation data climb
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U.S. Treasury yields moved higher again last week as inflation moderated less than expected.